The Academy Awards 2007: Predictions
After last year's upset win for Crash, this year is shaping up to be another very tight race. The nominations are split far and wide - Dreamgirls, the film with the most nominations has been overlooked for Best Picture and Best Director, a turn of events which surprised most of us (not that I'm complaining). The various critics' awards spread the love - with The Queen, The Departed, United 93, and Letters from Iwo Jima all featuring.
The Golden Globes gave Babel a push. The BAFTAs - which seem designed to boost British Oscar prospects - may have swung some momentum towards The Queen. And then there's Little Miss Sunshine… are we looking at another 'little movie that could', just like Crash? Let's hope not. For my money it's the overrated movie of the year (just like Crash).
Frankly, as far as Best Picture goes, it's anyone's guess. I have a gut feeling that this is Scorsese's year, even if this particular film is not one of his best. On the other hand I'm confident that most of the other categories are a foregone conclusion - and most of the BAFTA winners should be thinking of how best to rephrase their thanks.
So how is it going to pan out? What follows are my hunches, gripes, and educated guesses concerning the so-called 'major awards'. As far as the technical awards go, I'm hoping the unjustly sidelined Pan's Labyrinth and Children of Men pick up some well-deserves gold. Come next Monday morning it will be obvious how far off the mark I am.
The Nominees: Babel, The Departed, Letters from Iwo Jima, Little Miss Sunshine, The Queen
Overlooked: Children of Men; The Good Shepherd; Little Children; Pan's Labyrinth; The Prestige; United 93
The Nominees: Clint Eastwood (Letters from Iwo Jima); Stephen Frears (The Queen); Paul Greengrass (United 93); Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu (Babel)
Overlooked: Robert Altman (A Prairie Home Companion); Alfonso Cuaron (Children of Men); Michel Gondry (The Science Of Sleep); Christopher Nolan (The Prestige); Guillermo del Toro (Pan's Labyrinth)
The Nominees: Leonardo DiCaprio (Blood Diamond); Ryan Gosling (Half Nelson); Peter O'Toole (Venus); Will Smith (The Pursuit Of Happyness); Forest Whitaker (The Last King Of Scotland)
Overlooked: Sacha Baron Cohen (Borat); Matt Damon (The Good Shepherd); Clive Owen (Children of Men); Ken Watanabe (Letters from Iwo Jima)
The Nominees: Penelope Cruz (Volver); Judi Dench (Notes On A Scandal); Helen Mirren (The Queen); Meryl Streep (The DEvil Wears Prada); Kate Winslet (Little Children)
Overlooked: Laura Dern (Inland Empire); Naomi Watts (The Painted Veil)
Best Supporting Actor
The Nominees: Alan Arkin (Little Miss Sunshine); Jackie Earle Haley (Little Children); Djimon Hounsou (Blood Diamond); Eddie Murphy (Dreamgirls); Mark Wahlberg (The Departed)
Overlooked: Ben Affleck (Hollywoodland); Adam Beach (Flags Of Our Fathers); Michael Caine (Children of Men); Danny Huston (The Proposition); Brad Pitt (Babel); Michael Sheen (The Queen)
Best Supporting Actress
The Nominees: Adriana Barraza (Babel); Cate Blanchett (Notes on a Scandal); Abigail Breslin (Little Miss Sunshine); Jennifer Hudson (Dreamgirls); Rinko Kikuchi (Babel)
Overlooked: Emily Blunt (The Devil Wears Prada); Vera Farmiga (The Departed); Diane Lane (Hollywoodland); Phyllis Somerville (Little Children)
Best Original Screenplay
The Nominees: Babel; Letters from Iwo Jima; Little Miss Sunshine; Pan's Labyrinth; The Queen
Overlooked: The Good Shepherd; Hollywoodland; The Proposition; Talledega Nights: The Ballad of Ricky Bobby
Best Adapted Screenplay
The Nominees: Borat; Children of Men; The Departed; Little Children; Notes on a Scandal
Overlooked: The Prestige; The Pursuit of Happyness
Best Foreign Language Film
The Nominees: After the Wedding; Days of Glory (Indigenes); The Lives of Others; Pan's Labyrinth; Water
Overlooked: Volver; L'enfant (The Child); The Death Of Mr Lazarescu; Three Times
Best Animated Film
The Nominees: Cars; Happy Feet; Monster House
Overlooked: Not a great year for animation!
Best Documentary Feature
The Nominees: Deliver Us from Evil; An Inconvenient Truth; Iraq in Fragments; Jesus Camp; My Country, My Country
Overlooked: Grizzly Man
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